Turkey needs NATO more now to achieve its goals, but NATO and the US do not need it.
Γράφει ο Γεώργιος Δικαίος στις 21 Οκτωβρίου 2025

Turkey needs NATO more now to achieve its goals, but NATO and the US do not need it.
Arrogant Turkey needs NATO more than ever! It deceives everyone and everything with its behavior, buys know-how through partnerships, in order to become fully defense-independent in the future, and creates problems for the US, NATO, and EU.
What has Turkey offered NATO and the US since 1952 when it joined NATO? Absolutely nothing! It constantly creates problems, tensions with neighboring countries, it is not against Russia and has friendly relations with it.
What is Turkey really doing and how much it undermines the efforts of the US, NATO, and the EU and is against their interests! Since 1955 it has been attacking Greece, destroying and expelling the Greek Minority from Istanbul and trying to seize part of Cyprus. The facts are well known and led to the occupation of 38% of Cyprus with the 1974 war that was waged in two phases by Turkey.
It is surprising that the international community does not see what is happening in Turkey and whose interests it serves? Since the moment oil was extracted in Greece in the Prinos field in 1973, Turkey has threatened Greece with war if it dares to extract oil and natural gas from the fields it has. Be careful, Turkey does not say to Greece: I question the EEZ, the maritime borders in the Aegean and I do not want platforms to be set up there for oil extraction. Turkey says that if Greece proceeds with oil extraction in the EEZ on the maritime borders with Italy, it will be a reason to declare war! Does Turkey mind if Greece extracts oil and natural gas 1000 kilometers and more from its borders?
Nothing is absurd and it is time for the truth to come to light!
We must inform the US what Turkey stands for and whose interests it serves. Why does Turkey not let the oil and gas fields come out of the Eastern Mediterranean? Why is it involved in Libya, Syria, has relations with Hamas, HTS, ISIS, Hezbollah and other terrorist organizations? Is Turkey trying to form an independent foreign policy and be at equal distances with the US, Russia, China, the EU or use them for its own benefit? How much harm has Turkish President Erdogan done and what is he seeking?
There are many questions as to why the EU did not help Greece and Cyprus to extract their natural gas and oil and direct it at low prices to the EU to replace Russian natural gas. Expensive energy in the EU, since they buy three times more expensive liquefied natural gas, has cost three, yes (3) trillion euros! Three trillion euros are the increased import prices of natural gas, the increase in the price of electricity, the decrease in industrial production, the factories that closed and the increased prices of products. Who is responsible for all this? Turkey and those who pay it to do it and not let the deposits of the Eastern Mediterranean be extracted.
Why is Turkey against the interests of the USA, NATO & EU? Why does the President of Turkey Erdogan serve foreign interests?
President Erdogan began his political career with the support of the rich Arab countries and ran for mayor of Istanbul. With huge financial support and the AGENDA to make Turkey a Muslim country again and to limit the power that the Military and the Kemalists had, he managed to take power. He was lucky because then the Arab Spring began in Libya, Syria, Lebanon, Egypt, Tunisia, Algeria. It was an attempt by the US to control the governments of these countries and to bend their objections to the extraction of the deposits of the Eastern Mediterranean.
The rich Gulf Arab States have been financing the governments of these countries and Turkey for decades to prevent the extraction of the Eastern Mediterranean deposits. The rich Gulf Arab States know that they will lose 50% of their income if the Eastern Mediterranean deposits are extracted. There are two opponents to prevent the Eastern Mediterranean deposits from being extracted: Turkey, which survives on the money of the rich Gulf Arab States and serves their interests, and Russia, which is waiting for the end of the war in Ukraine to supply the EU with natural gas. Turkey serves the interests of both the rich Gulf Arab States and Russia!
President Erdogan exploited the money of the rich Arab countries to build a military industry in Turkey. Turkey did not make defense products in key sectors, but it expanded to all with 850 official programs and international collaborations and in total it exceeded 1000 programs! Managing to do this with limited resources that you can allocate for research and technology is naturally impossible! It is impossible for Turkey to have more defense programs than the EU! The funding from the rich Arab Gulf countries is huge for Turkey's defense industry and they provide great financial assistance because as we mentioned it serves their interests.
Russia and President Putin supported the President of Turkey Erdogan!
After the Arab Spring that swept the Muslim countries in the Mediterranean, an opponent was left to extract the deposits from the Mediterranean and especially from the Eastern Mediterranean. Russia, which had bases in Syria and began to get involved with mercenaries in Libya. Turkey ostensibly got involved in Syria for the interests of the US, NATO, EU. In essence, however, it served its own interests, the extremist groups it finances and the war against the Kurds.
The Kurds in Turkey are not a minority, but almost 30% of the population! Since 1984, the battles with the PKK have begun, which have cost Turkey 300 billion dollars in 41 years! Turkey uses American warplanes to bomb hundreds of targets inside Turkey and on the borders with Syria and Iraq. It is waging a hybrid war and attacks on the Kurds of Syria and Iraq with mercenaries.
Here is the strange thing, while Turkey served its own interests in Syria and Libya, it had very good relations with Russia, which was supposedly against it! After 2011, Russia found an ally who would not let the oil and gas deposits in the Eastern Mediterranean be extracted! Russia and the rich Arab Gulf States that are in OPEC, are collaborating and helping Turkey and President Erdogan to not let the deposits be extracted from the Eastern Mediterranean.
We will see Russia's relations with Turkey and the rich Arab Gulf States. How does Russia help Turkey, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, which do not participate in the sanctions against Russia, and China's role with the BRICS. Where does Turkey find the money to finance its military industry and military and hybrid operations? Where do the rich Arab Gulf countries find the money to finance secret operations and prepare to go with China and join the BRICS?
Is it possible that Russia and President Putin, with the invasion of Ukraine, with dozens of sanctions against them, have enormous power and that the US, NATO and the EU cannot do anything? While all this is interconnected, why do think tanks in their studies and at conferences say nothing?
Diplomacy in the West does not see the obvious.
Many states are against the interests of the West, the US, NATO, the EU and yet they act as they are. Other states have chosen to flee from the support of the West and go with Russia-China and join the BRICS. States that NATO, the EU, the US and England supported them are turning their backs on them and creating many problems.
President Putin took advantage of President Erdogan's rise to power in Turkey to create problems for the US, NATO, EU, England and not to let the Eastern Mediterranean deposits that were to be extracted in 2015 come out! The Eastern Mediterranean deposits would be extracted to reduce the power of Russia and the EU's dependence on Russian natural gas and to reduce the power of the rich Arab Gulf states that increased prices and determined production with OPEC, guided by Russia.
Turkey-Erdogan relations with the West-USA came to great tension and in 2016 there was an attempted coup in Turkey against Erdogan!
President Erdogan in Turkey fought with the military-Kemalists and wanted to change Turkey from a secular to a Muslim country. President Erdogan of Turkey and his staff believe that by strengthening the Muslim faith, the strong military industry, the powerful army that he is creating (20 commando brigades with permanent personnel), the large number of warships that he is building and his own new fighter aircraft, he will make Turkey strong again and conquer new territories from neighboring countries. President Erdogan hopes that his Muslim soldiers, if they become fanatics, will fight to the death the infidels! He dreams of conquering Jerusalem, Syria, seizing the deposits of the Eastern Mediterranean so that he can have money to allocate to what we mentioned and to acquire nuclear weapons!
The coup failed in Turkey and Erdogan escaped because President Putin and Russia saved him. Immediately after, President Erdogan's true feelings for Israel, the West, the EU and NATO were revealed. The hunt for the Kemalist Generals intensified in Turkey, thousands of soldiers and civilians are imprisoned! Mayors, parliamentary candidates, opposition leaders and not only Kurds end up in prison with trivial excuses. Turkey bought two S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems directly from Russia, wants nuclear plants from Russia and Erdogan declared that their biggest enemy is Israel.
In Russia, President Putin played his own game in Ukraine, taking advantage of the mistakes and inertia of the West.
It is surprising why the West in the US and the EU, (here we include England in the pre-Brexit era) thought that Russia could not react. It is constantly making the same mistake with Erdogan, it made the same mistakes by not understanding the power of China and the dynamics of Russia. The West has not understood the double game of the rich Arab Gulf states that want to turn their backs on it. The greatest threat is not Iran, but the punching bag so that the West can defuse there and let the rich Arab countries go with Russia and China and intensify in the BRICS.
All international analysts disagreed with me in 2013 when I said: that Russia will fight for the Crimean peninsula, for Syria and in Ukraine. Russia would rather lose the thousands of armored vehicles, tanks and armored personnel carriers in reserve that it would give up for recycling in 2030-35. Its air force would shrink to 50-54% in 2030 and would be below 40% due to flight schedules and few bombers. Russia's navy is in shambles and would be at 50% of the number of ships in 2035. If it fought, it could gain a lot geopolitically and militarily before becoming a nuclear-only power.
Russia won and the West lost, although the war is not over yet in Ukraine. The oil and gas deposits have not yet been extracted from the Eastern Mediterranean and the Russians, Erdogan and the rich Arab countries of the Gulf are celebrating! We are left to analyze the why and wherefore of the Hamas attack on Israel, although the whys are many.
The US-Turkey confrontation and Erdogan's insidious games.
We analyzed how Turkey is making friends in NATO, the US, the EU when it is not! However, we did not give all the information about the plans of Erdogan and the deep Turkish state to conquer the West, with the seemingly innocent underbelly of Muslim illegal immigrants! All this has nothing to do with the confrontation between Greece-Turkey and Cyprus-Turkey and with Israel-Turkey. We need to get this out of our minds, this is what Turkey wants to appear like in order to fool the West and achieve its goals, with the support of the rich Arab countries of the Gulf and Russia!
Turkey is constantly sending illegal immigrants to Europe in various ways and constantly asking for money from the EU supposedly because it has them there, while everyone knows that it uses it for other purposes. The pressure on Europe is enormous and on the entry states that are the guardians of the borders. The plan to conquer Europe had begun a long time ago, before Erdogan took power in Turkey. Turkey was simply promoting immigrants to the countries of Europe that reached its borders. This changed with the coming to power of President Erdogan.
Turkey advertises to Muslim countries that in the EU they will have free housing, food, money, women and whatever else they want! It transports Muslims with its hundreds of passenger planes to Turkey and pushes them to the land and sea borders! The same thing happened in Libya, where when mercenaries and an army from Turkey went there, the increase in the flow of illegal immigrants to Malta, Italy and Greece exceeded 500%! It is not people who are being hunted by their governments and civil wars in the EU, but also criminals of all kinds. 90% of illegal immigrants are men of fighting age and many of them have fought in various conflicts.
The increase in illegal immigration in the EU has increased crime dramatically and in prisons they exceed 80%, despite the flexible measures they give them and let them go free for petty theft. We will see how this affects the militancy of Europe, how it disrupts social cohesion and how Russia and Muslim countries exploit this for their own interests. Together with the WOKE AGENDA, the disbanded EU armies with the stoppage of youth conscription and the disbandment that has taken place at all levels with the wrong policies and anyone who supports their homeland is a fascist.
In 2020, the critical confrontation with Greece of Turkey took place, which was a blow against all of Europe. It is wrong to think that Turkey is an enemy only of Greece and Cyprus. There were dozens of attempts to breach the Evros fence by Turkey to send thousands of illegal immigrants to Greece and Europe. Turkey brought its entire fleet out and came into confrontation with the Greek Navy to manage to send thousands of illegal immigrants to the Greek islands with fast boats! Greece defeated Turkey without a war and its navy crushed the Turkish navy. Greece saved its borders and the honor of the EU, but Turkey managed to get money from the EU for illegal immigration and immediately gave it elsewhere. To its war industry and the hybrid operations-wars it is waging. After 2020, with the money it received, Turkey sent a large number of soldiers and mercenaries to Libya and sent thousands of illegal immigrants from Africa to Italy, Malta. It made the Turkish-Libyan memorandum and everything it could to prevent the deposits of the Mediterranean and especially the Eastern Mediterranean from being extracted in cooperation with Russia!
Taking advantage of all this, Russia was not afraid of the EU and NATO and invaded Ukraine. No one could stop it and they thought that with the sanctions, Russia would collapse economically and militarily. China and India saved Russia by buying huge quantities of natural gas and oil and many countries like Turkey supported it, doing the same and helping it find what it needed through them from the West. The curious thing is that in 2024 the UAE imports 10% of natural gas from Russia and exports it. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates imported Russian oil worth 14.7 billion dollars and 9.3 billion dollars and resold it, earning more than 20% of its value! These are official OPEC figures! With this money, which is more than 5 billion dollars, both these Arab countries made many hybrid and secret operations!
The ESTMED pipeline and its cancellation attempt
Israel is a powerful country, it fears no one and yet it was unable to continue the construction of the ESTMED pipeline and proceed with the extraction of its oil and natural gas deposits. The same happened to Egypt with dozens of problems and sabotage. Who stopped the extraction of oil in the Eastern Mediterranean? Turkey, the rich Arab Gulf countries and Russia! Where did Turkey, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar find the money to allocate it without mentioning it in their state budgets? There is also Iran that supports the interests of Russia and China. Where did they find the money, I mentioned before, they bought Russian Oil and sold it for their own with a profit of 20-25%!
The financing of Hamas and the attack on Israel.
Hamas is financed and controlled by Turkey, Qatar directly and indirectly by the rich Arab Gulf countries. Turkey told Israel not to pass the ESTMED pipeline through Cyprus and Greece, but to take it through Syria to Turkey and Turkey would invade Syria and conquer it. When Israel refused, President Erdogan made a new proposal, to go the ESTMED pipeline through the part of Cyprus that Turkey has occupied since the invasion in 1974 and then to Turkey. Israel again refused, because it knows Turkey that wanted to delay the extraction of oil and natural gas from the eastern Mediterranean and to shut off the flow of natural gas from the ESTMED whenever it wanted.
There were discussions about the extraction in the EEZ between Israel and the Palestinians, because the Gaza Strip has an EEZ. Hamas demanded to receive 50% of the revenues from the extraction of oil in the Gaza Strip. The money is for all Palestinians and the West Bank should receive money from the deposits as well, Israel responded. After thousands of Hamas rocket attacks on Israel, a period of calm came. Israel began drilling and setting up oil rigs and suddenly everything changed! A general attack by Hamas on Israel was carried out, killing more than 1,200 Israelis and taking hundreds hostage. At the same time, hybrid operations with frogmen were carried out on Israel's offshore oil rigs and undersea pipelines, and Hamas carried them out, but who trained them? Turkey of course!
Israel got involved in an endless war with Hamas, was forced to stop mining and close the mining platforms in the Leviathan field. Who benefited from all this? Russia, Turkey and the rich Arab Gulf states that managed to stop mining in the Eastern Mediterranean. Then Turkey managed to occupy Syria with mercenaries and its own armed groups to control the oil and gas fields. However, it did not manage to conquer them because the Syrian Kurds control them. While Syria was occupied, Russia's bases in the region remained and no one bothered it!
Turkey's hybrid operations continue unabated! Turkish nationals are constantly being arrested at the Greek border, carrying hundreds of pistols and weapon parts manufactured in Turkey, which are then transported to Europe! They are giving them to terrorist cells and fanatical Muslims who are waiting for the order to revolt! That is why they forced France and England to support Gaza, because they feared general uprisings of the tens of millions of Muslims they have in their countries. In Cyprus, the same thing happens to hundreds of Muslims that Turkey sends them from the Green Line, from the occupied part of Cyprus! Agents who have contacts with MIT, the Turkish intelligence service, and dozens of weapons are being arrested! Doesn't the West and especially the EU and the USA see what Turkey is doing? It will incite thousands of illegal immigrants in many countries to achieve its goals, and with all that is happening, Russia wins! Russia, which a fragmented Europe favors and cannot threaten. Russia does not love Turkey, it is trying to detach it from the West and use it for its own interests. That is why it allows it to buy oil and grain at very low prices, while it knows that a large part of them is exported by Turkey as its own with a 25% profit!
It was announced that Israel and Hamas signed a peace agreement, and Turkey and the rich Arab states of the Gulf contributed to this! Recep Tayyip Erdogan revealed that Turkey will participate in the task force that will oversee the implementation of the ceasefire in Gaza. So after Syria, there will be a Turkish armed presence in Gaza, a fact that upgrades Ankara's regional geostrategic role. An Ankara that will now be able to appear - and in practice - as the "protector" of the Palestinians in the wider Muslim world.
The West's interest is the dissolution of Turkey.
Turkey remains in NATO for protection from Russia and to advance its interests and pursuits. Yes, Turkey must be dissolved because it is preparing to manufacture nuclear weapons! Turkey has set two milestones in 2030 and 2035 and how strong militarily it can be then.
With its powerful military industry, it will manage to wage a long-term war with 1.5++ enemies in 2030 and defeat them! Turkey's new enemy is Israel and its 1.5+++ doctrine! To be able to confront Israel, the PKK, occupy the northern part of Syria and exterminate the Kurds who live there and attack Greece and Cyprus! This is the long-term plan of Erdogan and Turkey, culminating in 2035 with the doctrine of 2+ wars and the possession of a large number of nuclear weapons.
The 2+ doctrine of 2035 is the great vision of Turkey!
To have a large and powerful military industry and military power to be able to defeat Greece, Israel, the PKK and occupy all of Cyprus! To be able to face Russia in a war, whose military power, as you expect, has fallen to 40-50% of its current level! In 2035, it will have only 40% of its warplanes due to the exhaustion of their flight ranges and it does not have the money to replace them!
The interest of the West is to manage to push Turkey into a war with Russia directly and to profit from the dissolution of Turkey, the establishment of a Kurdish state and the huge losses of Russia in air force, fleet and airborne forces. The end of the war in Ukraine will come if Russia and Turkey engage in a war with each other. Russia cannot cope with a war on two fronts and this will bring the end of operations in Ukraine.
The West must help Greece to extract the oil and gas deposits, along with Cyprus! Greece will be the guardian and protector of the offshore oil and gas extraction platforms, with a strong air force and a powerful navy! The EU will benefit from low gas prices and will recover economically and militarily. Israel will benefit economically and will have maritime protection from the powerful Greek fleet.
The rich Arab Gulf states will lose revenue from the sales of natural gas and oil, from the extraction of the deposits of the Eastern Mediterranean. They must be punished for what the rich Arab Gulf states did, who turned their backs on the West and the USA and went with Russia, China and want to intensify in the BRICS. A new Arab Spring in the rich Arab Gulf countries is what is needed for them to recover.
The next war
Many analysts say that the next war will be the war against Muslims! It is certain that at some point it will break out and they will revolt in the countries they have gone to. Byzantium was dissolved in this way, the Turkish Muslims came to Asia Minor supposedly hunted and the Christian inhabitants gave them jobs, shelter and food. Then they revolted, killed the inhabitants to seize their fields, their houses, their girls as brides and their boys as slaves. They were the ones who opened the gates to the cities that Mohammed besieged to conquer and plunder them. The generals expect the same thing to happen again in the West and in Europe.
The USA, England and the EU must understand the insidious plans of Turkey that is taking advantage of its membership in NATO to advance its own interests. Does Turkey have so much power that it can conquer Europe, incite the Muslims and wage war? Turkey does not want to go to war with the EU, it will stir up the Muslims and then say I will calm them down but you will give me 20 billion euros in money and weapons! It will force the EU to give it to it. All of this refers to Turkey's plans for the future and is in its next plans, regardless of the politician who takes power in Turkey. The Turkish deep state has drawn up a policy and is implementing it gradually and methodically. The West failed to see China's five-year plans and how much it would strengthen itself militarily and economically. The West has failed to understand Turkey's game, how insidious and destructive it is against it. If Turkey succeeds and obtains a share of the Eastern Mediterranean deposits by occupying Cyprus, it will allocate it all to its military industry and not to its people who are plagued by 33% inflation. Who finances Turkey and who supports it against the interests of the West? Russia and the rich Arab Gulf states should be punished for this.
George Dikaios is a radar electronic-mechanical, geopolitical and military analyst. He writes Analyses, weapon system improvements and studies on weapon systems!
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