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The Iranian turmoil is reflected in American strategy: It wrongly reflects the inability of Russia-China to face Trump on equal terms. If Russia cannot due to war, China has the money and weapons systems to do so. What will happen in Greece-Turkey in 2026

Γράφει ο Γεώργιος Δικαίος στις 15 Ιανουαρίου 2026

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The Iranian turmoil is reflected in American strategy: It wrongly reflects the inability of Russia-China to face Trump on equal terms. If Russia cannot due to war, China has the money and weapons systems to do so. What will happen in Greece-Turkey in 2026

Let's assume that China does not want to expose itself by sending its own weapons systems to various countries! But it has a huge number of weapons systems that it has purchased from Russia: 24 S-300 anti-aircraft systems and SU-27 aircraft and newer variants that it has in storage or is withdrawing. There are no excuses here and analysts should stop telling us things that are not true.

I post articles so that we can understand how the Russians think and about the causes of Iran's collapse. When Trump sends US companies to Venezuela to repair its oil wells and they produce three times as much oil, what will you say? When Venezuela's oil revenues triple - but US companies will get 20-30 billion to repair them! Let's assume that Venezuela buys weapons systems and other products from the US, what will be left for the Venezuelan people? More than double the income they have now from oil exports.

Russia and China could not repair the oil wells in Venezuela and the same is happening in Iran. China could not make Iran a lobster. It has 24 S-300 systems in storage and old aircraft to give it. As for Russia, Iran has sent 2.7 billion worth of military equipment to it since 2021. North Korea sends 40% of Russia's annual production of ammunition every year, at first it sent all the old stocks from 1970 that it had in warehouses and exceeded 50%, that is, more than the annual production of all of NATO.

Personally, I will insist on the same question: what will be President Trump's next step? To make up with China and supply India and China with Venezuelan and Iranian oil to marginalize Russia. Turkey will immediately disintegrate if Iran goes with the West and becomes the great Kurdish state, because there is oil there that can be extracted directly and not with offshore platforms like in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Greenland is the next step to extract oil from it. But why do they want so much oil anymore? Why is the UAE and Saudi Arabia running out of oil and why will they dismantle the rich Arab States as happened in Libya, Syria, Lebanon, etc. Cheap oil will boost the economies and that is why the very expensive green development will be left aside.

Along with all this, the ball will also take us and we will have a hard time. Turkey cannot be dismantled unless there is a war in three or four parts. I wrote about it yesterday in my previous article:

The Management of the Trump Administration Regime in Venezuela after the Maduro Period: Coercive Leverage, Continuity Governance and Strategic Readjustment Iran could do the same and avoid dissolution and disintegration. I feel sorry for what is happening there and the Mullahs who rule who understand absolutely nothing of what is happening.

Protests in Iran: Why is a military conflict so close? Why is Russia not advising them to make changes? Why isn't China telling them the same? Why are they letting Iran disintegrate? Why should Iran fall into the hands of Trump-the West?

In my previous article I wrote the following: Why is Russia adding fuel to the fire and why has it now announced the following amid protests that have lasted for over ten days:

Iranians seek refuge in Turkey: "They are killing indiscriminately, you have no idea what is going on," they say. I mentioned that the situation has gotten out of hand, but why is no one telling us? WSJ: The collapse of the bank that plunged Iran into chaos - The story of Ayandeh Bank! That is, they were robbed of their deposits when the bank went bankrupt, and they have nothing to eat with the terrible rise in inflation, and they were robbed of the money they would have used to get by.

The strongest indication that things were heading for collapse in Iran did not come from the accumulated resentment of the opposition or from the thwarted expectations of a youth demanding greater individual freedom. It came from the collapse of a bank, according to the Wall Street Journal. Late last year, Ayandeh Bank, run by people close to the regime and burdened with losses of almost $5 billion due to extensive bad loans, collapsed. The government transferred its remains to a state-owned bank and proceeded to print huge amounts of money to cover the losses. In this way, the problem was covered up, but not actually addressed.

Ayandeh: The Bank Failure That Brought Chaos

The Ayandeh Bank Failure became a symbol and a catalyst for a broader economic disintegration The crisis, which ultimately sparked the protests that now pose the most serious threat to the regime since the Islamic Republic was founded fifty years ago. The bank’s collapse clearly demonstrated that Iran’s financial system, burdened by years of sanctions, mismanagement of lending, and reliance on inflationary monetary policy, had become increasingly insolvent and illiquid. Five other banks are estimated to be in a similarly precarious situation.

The crisis came at the worst possible time. The Iranian government’s credibility had already been undermined by the 12-day war with Israel and the United States in June, which exposed its inability to protect the population from external attacks. At the same time, the leadership’s refusal to compromise in negotiations over its nuclear program made it impossible to lift sanctions. In November, Israel and the United States threatened new attacks if Iran attempted to rebuild its ballistic or nuclear arsenal.

In this environment, the Iranian rial - already in a critical state - entered a new phase of devaluation, which the regime was unable to stop. US sanctions had cut off the country from the critical inflow of dollars via Iraq, had drastically reduced hard currency oil export revenues, and had made foreign exchange reserves held abroad inaccessible.

“This was a bank with strong connections and deep corruption, which highlighted that the banking system itself functions as a mechanism for the enrichment of the powerful,” said Adnan Mazarei, former deputy director of the IMF’s Middle East and Central Asia Department. According to him, the collapse of Ayandeh contributed to a “crescendo of regime delegitimization following the Israeli attack.”

The Story of Ayandeh Bank

Ayandeh Bank was founded in 2013 by Ali Ansari, an Iranian businessman who merged two state-owned banks with a third he had created. Coming from one of the country’s wealthiest families, he owns a multimillion-dollar mansion in north London and is considered a close political ally of former conservative President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

Days after the collapse of Ayandeh, the United Kingdom imposed sanctions on Ansari, calling him a “corrupt Iranian banker and businessman” who helped finance the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. In a statement in October, he blamed the bank’s failure on “decisions and policies beyond the control of the administration.”

After decades of artificial interventions and a steady flow of black money that kept the troubled economy afloat, Tehran now found itself at a dead end, without effective tools to address an ever-deepening crisis or respond to the needs of a desperate population. Hundreds of merchants, a social group that rarely participates in mass protests, took to the streets of Tehran demanding immediate support measures.

Ayandeh offered the highest interest rates on the market, attracting millions of depositors, while borrowing heavily from the central bank, which was printing money to keep it afloat, according to economists. Like other troubled Iranian banks, it had a large volume of non-performing loans, one of the main factors that ultimately led to its bankruptcy.

Iran: Dangerous escalation in the Middle East - Tehran threatens US bases if attacked by Washington. I feel sorry for the crap Iran and the idiots who rule it and do not do what was done in Venezuela to save it.

Some personnel have been ordered to leave the US military's Al Udeid air base in Qatar by Wednesday evening, Reuters reported, citing three diplomats.

All this, amid warnings from Washington that it could intervene to protect protesters in Iran.

Russia must continue its cooperation with Iran to implement their bilateral agreements and no third country can influence or change the character of Moscow-Tehran relations, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said today at a press conference in the Russian capital. Russia does not understand what is happening and is not doing anything to defuse the situation.

I had mentioned it to you in ours, now others are saying it too: Karystianou who came to put an end to every second thought of Samaras and the "gift" to Mitsotakis!

The possibility of the creation of a new political entity on behalf of Antonis Samaras was widely discussed in 2025. And while the former prime minister was leaning towards the trump card, Maria Karystianou came to put an end to every second thought of Samaras and the "gift" to Mitsotakis second thoughts of Messiniou, according to the Big Mouth column of powergame.gr. Somehow, in the festive atmosphere, President Mitsotakis received another gift, from these godsends, and he seems to have the bone of a bat, enjoying from the Most High what (the Most High) deprived his late father. The polling data that explains Samaras' "braking"

As reported by Giorgos Pierrou in parapolitika.gr, the polling data that give him a perimeter of dynamics with a hard core of close to 4%, while Karystianou and Tsipras have counterparts that reach 10%, explain his "braking". In fact, Maria Karystianou claims a significant share of the pool of anti-systemic votes with right-wing characteristics, reducing the scope for strengthening other political forces that were expecting reinforcements.

Tsipras 10% good good night to you for writing this. Karystianou will get votes from the opposition and some parties will not be in Parliament, which favors ND. The scenario of getting ND and Kyriakos Mitsotakis out again, even with help from another party, to form a government, is valid from the EU.

The US-Trump scenario is different: a multi-party coalition government to sign what the US wants and not what the EU wants for EEZ, 12 nautical miles, maritime plots, etc. The scenario of elections by April after Easter is valid and we will see how it will be implemented based on developments in Iran and whether they will eat Mitsotakis.

Karystianou will collect many votes and we will see how they will promote her and why. There is another possibility, that she will come out and then lose more than 50% of her MPs who will go to the first party to form a government. No, I am not arguing and contradicting myself, they are wondering in the US whether a weak Mitsotakis is better than a coalition government!

But why? Because there are two scenarios: a heated episode between Greece and Turkey, or a limited war between Turkey and Greece with a heated episode in Cyprus. In no case do they want a war in Cyprus, but I see it as difficult to control a heated episode there if it happens from the Turkish side. For now, we will see what happens in Iran and we will try to decipher what China is thinking. There are no statements there and you cannot learn what you want.

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